http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=91383ea5-1298-40cf-aa54-ec3eab8fc689
McCain has a four point lead in this poll, a two point lead in a Mason-Dixon poll, and is pretty much tied in a couple of others including a Rasmussen Poll, but overall he appears to be slightly ahead of Mike Huckabee. Now, as my two forecasts on this blog so far have been pretty far off I have to say that I am not too comfortable of trying to pick a winner at this point. However, I think McCain will ever so slightly win in South Carolina, but not by much. My guess is as the vote comes in it will be tight between him and Huckabee with Romney coming in 8-9 points behind second place and Thompson a few points behind of that.
Romney clearly looks like he's going to win in Nevada and Mason-Dixon has him up by 15 out there. He will have an interesting claim of three victories(Michigan, Nevada, and Wyoming) to two victories by either McCain or Huckabee depending on the outcome. However, as I will mention later, he has relatively little going his way on Super Tuesday, including a Survey USA poll that shows him only leading 48-34 in Massachusetts. This is between McCain, Romney, and Huckabee.
Next up, Democrats in Nevada.
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