Tuesday, January 8, 2008

New Hampshire Predictions

Democrats:
Obama 41%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 6%
Kucinich 3%
Slop 1%

Republicans:
McCain 35%
Romney 29%
Huckabee 16%
Paul 10%
Giuliani 9%
Thompson 1%

I think Romney polls slightly better than he does in general. Obama is harder to tell because of the very messed up nature of the Iowa caucuses, but due to the way independents are breaking his way and the mood on the ground he will slightly outstrip his poll numbers. With the Republicans because it was a straight up vote in Iowa, that is a fairly good indicator and Romney does not do very well compared to polling.

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