Setting Up the Battlefield

I believe in establishing the clear lines of battle for the 2008 election as to what states are truly safe for either side before I start analyzing the ones that aren't actually safe. Now this is a projection that takes into account a close election, not a blow out. If it is a blow out, i.e. a win of 6 or more points one way or the other, this does not apply.

Republican Base:
Indiana(11)
Kentucky(8)
North Carolina(15)
South Carolina(8)
Georgia(15)
Alabama(9)
Mississippi(6)
Louisiana(9)
Tennessee(11)
Texas(34)
Oklahoma(7)
Kansas(6)
Nebraska(5)
North Dakota(3)
South Dakota(3)
Montana(3)
Wyoming(3)
Utah(5)
Idaho(3)
Arizona(10, with McCain as the nominee)
Alaska(3)

Total: 178 EVs

Democratic Base:
Vermont(3)
Maine(4)
Massachusetts(12)
Connecticut(7)
Rhode Island(4)
New York(31)
New Jersey(15)
Maryland(10)
Delaware(3)
D.C.(3)
Illinois(21)
California(55)
Washington State(11)
Hawaii(4)

Total: 180 EVs

Well, that leaves a lot of states to analyze. I'll get to it over the next several months.